Decision -Making

/Decision -Making

Local vs Global Optimum

“A local optimum of an optimization problem is a solution that is optimal (either maximal or minimal) within a neighboring set of candidate solutions. This is in contrast to a global optimum, which is the optimal solution among all possible solutions, not

2018-09-24T06:49:18+00:00

Business Case

“Captures the reasoning for initiating a project or task. It is often presented in a well-structured written document, but may also sometimes come in the form of a short verbal argument or presentation.” (related: why this now?) Source: Gabriel Weinberg's Mental Models

2018-09-24T06:49:16+00:00

Intuition

Personal experience coded into your personal neural network, which means your intuition is dangerous outside the bounds of your personal experience. (related: thinking fast vs thinking slow — “a dichotomy between two modes of thought: ‘System 1’ is fast, instinctive and emotional;

2018-09-24T06:49:16+00:00

Expected Value

1. Raising the probability of being right is valuable no matter what your probability of being right already is. 2. Knowing when not to bet is as important as knowing what bets are probably worth making. 3. The best choices are the

2018-09-24T06:49:08+00:00